CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
VIT
0 - 0
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
POR
4 - 0
CSA
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
CSA
0 - 2
INT
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CSA
3 - 2
JEC
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
CSA
1 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
GUA
4 - 2
NAU
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1987 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
37%
28%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
INT
0 - 1
NAU
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |