CSA vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 4
CSA
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |