CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
4º
4º
10
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 18 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 14 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 12 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 12 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
5.5% | 28% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
17.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 3
CSS
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
CSS
57%
27%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ASD
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 0
ETO
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
USM
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Tunisien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
ESP
44%
30%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
USM
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 3
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
STA
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |