CD San Fernando vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SFE
1 - 0
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
MAL
5 - 0
SFE
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
SFE
0 - 0
CDT
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
MLL
1 - 0
SFE
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
SFE
3 - 1
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
UDL
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
MLL
3 - 1
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
HER
4 - 1
CAD
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
CDT
0 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
HOS
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |