CD San Fernando vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RJA
5 - 1
SFE
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SFE
3 - 0
EXT
60%
20%
19%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
LEV
1 - 0
SFE
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAD
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
HER
3 - 0
SFE
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELC
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
CDT
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
2 - 1
PUL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |