Real Bradu vs Tunari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
4º
4º
19
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 3 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bradu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GLO
2 - 0
RBA
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
RBA
0 - 2
FLA
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 1
RBA
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RBA
2 - 3
FLA
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UBR
1 - 2
RBA
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tunari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
5 - 0
GLO
67%
19%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 1
RBA
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 5
TUN
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
2 - 1
GLO
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |