Real Bradu vs Tunari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
4º
4º
19
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 3 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bradu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GLO
2 - 0
RBA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
RBA
0 - 2
FLA
35%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 1
RBA
80%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RBA
2 - 3
FLA
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UBR
1 - 2
RBA
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tunari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
5 - 0
GLO
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 1
RBA
80%
13%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 5
TUN
11%
17%
71%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
2 - 1
GLO
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |