Real Bradu vs FC Astra Giurgiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
0
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
10º
|
0 | 45 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 23 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bradu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
RBA
0 - 1
UBR
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
RBA
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RBA
4 - 1
FCS
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +4 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
RBA
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
RBA
3 - 1
FAP
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AST
0 - 7
TUN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BSR
6 - 1
AST
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AST
0 - 6
ACS
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
AST
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
AST
1 - 2
AUC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |