Liga III Group 9 - Relegation Round 6

Ocna Mureș vs Avântul Reghin analysis

Ocna Mureș Avântul Reghin
22 ELO 24
3.4% Tilt 5.2%
13585º General ELO ranking 9648º
153º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Ocna Mureș
23.4%
Draw
41.6%
Avântul Reghin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Ocna Mureș
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.6%
Win probability
Avântul Reghin
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ocna Mureș
-8%
+6%
Avântul Reghin

Points and table prediction

Ocna Mureș
Their league position
Avântul Reghin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitatea Alba Iulia
38
17
100%
Viitorul Cluj
31
15
100%
Sănătatea Cluj
27
13
0%
ACS Târgu Mures
37
13
0%
Avântul Reghin
37
13
0%
Ocna Mureș
22
13
0%
Expected probabilities
Ocna Mureș
Avântul Reghin
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ocna Mureș
Avântul Reghin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ocna Mureș
Ocna Mureș
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
UAI
Universitatea Alba Iulia
4 - 1
Ocna Mureș
CSO
63%
19%
18%
21 27 6 0
22 Apr. 2023
CSO
Ocna Mureș
2 - 0
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
30%
21%
49%
20 24 4 +1
14 Apr. 2023
ACS
ACS Târgu Mures
1 - 3
Ocna Mureș
CSO
79%
13%
8%
19 29 10 +1
08 Apr. 2023
CSO
Ocna Mureș
0 - 2
Viitorul Cluj
VII
26%
21%
54%
20 27 7 -1
31 Mar. 2023
AVA
Avântul Reghin
1 - 2
Ocna Mureș
CSO
63%
21%
17%
20 27 7 0

Matches

Avântul Reghin
Avântul Reghin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
SNT
Sănătatea Cluj
2 - 2
Avântul Reghin
AVA
50%
21%
28%
25 22 3 0
21 Apr. 2023
AVA
Avântul Reghin
0 - 1
Viitorul Cluj
VII
34%
23%
42%
26 28 2 -1
14 Apr. 2023
UAI
Universitatea Alba Iulia
3 - 0
Avântul Reghin
AVA
43%
23%
34%
27 26 1 -1
07 Apr. 2023
AVA
Avântul Reghin
2 - 1
ACS Târgu Mures
ACS
30%
23%
47%
26 30 4 +1
31 Mar. 2023
AVA
Avântul Reghin
1 - 2
Ocna Mureș
CSO
63%
21%
17%
27 20 7 -1