Liga III Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Minaur Baia Mare vs ASU Politehnica Timisoara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minaur Baia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
APT
1 - 2
MBM
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
CSM
2 - 0
MBM
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MBM
1 - 2
ZAL
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MBM
5 - 0
CSC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MBM
1 - 1
CSM
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASU Politehnica Timisoara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
APT
1 - 2
MBM
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
PPE
2 - 1
APT
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
APT
1 - 1
MIN
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
APT
0 - 1
CSC
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
APT
1 - 0
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |