Sportivo Desamparados vs Alianza Coronel Moldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
HHE
1 - 0
DES
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DES
3 - 1
SMA
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
DES
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
DES
2 - 0
HUR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DES
2 - 1
ATE
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Coronel Moldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
HHE
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALI
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPE
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 5
ALP
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GPJ
1 - 0
ALI
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |