Cacahuatique vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
8º
8º
13
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 44 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 41 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 36 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 34 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
12º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
66.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
FUE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
INT
1 - 2
CDC
8%
14%
77%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CDC
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FIR
2 - 0
INT
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ALI
3 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 0
ZAC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 3
FIR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 1
FUE
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |