Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 5-0
Crvena Zvezda vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 1
CRV
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 2
CRV
22%
27%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CRV
3 - 2
RAD
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 5
CRV
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CRV
3 - 0
HAJ
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
2 - 0
NKN
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 1
CRV
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
3 - 1
TRA
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 3
RUD
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NKN
0 - 1
RUD
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |