Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
96
1º
3º
1º
50
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
96 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
CRV
2 - 1
ČUK
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
CRV
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
BAC
0 - 3
CRV
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CRV
2 - 1
VOJ
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VOZ
0 - 2
CRV
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
NPA
1 - 4
BAC
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ČUK
4 - 0
NPA
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BAC
4 - 0
NPA
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NPA
0 - 1
RAD
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |