Crvena Zvezda vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BEO
1 - 1
CRV
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRV
1 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NPA
0 - 0
CRV
14%
24%
62%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CRV
5 - 0
MET
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 0
BOR
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BSK
0 - 4
JAG
31%
31%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 0
SME
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JAV
0 - 0
JAG
38%
31%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 0
FKS
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |