Cruzeiro DF vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
CDF
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
CDF
78%
16%
6%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |