Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 1
CRZ
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 1
TUP
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 1
CRZ
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAT
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 3
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |