Cruzeiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
CRZ
5 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 3
PPE
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
NAU
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAU
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |