Cruzeiro vs Nacional EC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 3
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 4
CRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 4
CRZ
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
85%
11%
3%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 4
CRZ
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 3
CAL
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
ATM
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
TUP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |