Cruzeiro vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CFC
2 - 3
CRZ
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CRZ
5 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
UBE
0 - 3
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |