Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-2
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
5 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
CRZ
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COT
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |