Cruzeiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 0
CRZ
29%
25%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
5 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
4 - 1
VAS
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 0
COR
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 0
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |