Cruzeiro vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATM
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
CRZ
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRZ
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
POR
2 - 0
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1972 |
POR
0 - 1
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |