Cruz del Sur vs Belgrano Esquel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz del Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
CDS
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDS
12%
18%
70%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 2
SAU
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
CDS
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano Esquel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
BEL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDS
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 2
DDR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAI
5 - 2
BEL
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
GER
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |