Cruz Azul vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 3
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
SAN
15%
22%
64%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 4
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 0
CAÑ
84%
11%
4%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
CAÑ
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TIG
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |