Cruz Azul vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
LAP
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IRA
4 - 3
TOR
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
PUM
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |