Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
REB
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
DOR
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
4 - 0
IRA
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 1
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
PUE
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
REB
1 - 0
LOB
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |