Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
CAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VER
6 - 1
LOB
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LOB
2 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
JAG
4 - 4
LOB
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LOB
3 - 2
MEX
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
3 - 0
LOB
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |