Cruz Azul vs Ciervos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 0
CAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 2
CAF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IRA
4 - 5
CAZ
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
IPC
0 - 0
CAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CIE
0 - 4
CCM
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CIE
0 - 4
CAF
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CIE
0 - 2
RCT
26%
26%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SFR
3 - 1
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |