Cruz Azul vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IRA
4 - 5
CAZ
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
IPC
0 - 0
CAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CFJ
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros de Chiapas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
IPC
5 - 0
CAF
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CAF
1 - 3
CFJ
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 3
CAF
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAF
3 - 0
REB
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
YFC
0 - 0
CAF
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |