Crusaders vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BMF
1 - 3
CRU
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
29%
28%
42%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAN
68%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 4
CRU
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRU
4 - 0
DON
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TOB
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
TOB
1 - 1
DON
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BMF
0 - 2
TOB
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
TOB
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOB
0 - 3
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |