Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 3
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
COL
2 - 6
CRU
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
WAR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |