UCL Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-1
Crusaders vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 0
GLE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 3
LEV
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
KER
0 - 8
LEV
3%
7%
91%
|
77 | 10 | 67 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PAI
1 - 5
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
LEV
2 - 0
TUL
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
LEV
2 - 0
SIK
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |