Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
5º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 3
LAR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
KNO
0 - 3
CRU
9%
15%
76%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
CRU
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
5 - 0
RRF
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |