Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 1
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |