Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 4
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 0
BMF
69%
18%
12%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
7 - 2
DFC
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 2
BAN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |