Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
CRU
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 1
CLI
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOU
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CAR
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |