Crumlin United vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crumlin United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
QUB
1 - 0
CRU
62%
19%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
FIN
3 - 0
CRU
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 0
CRU
77%
15%
7%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 0
WAT
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 1
CRU
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | +2 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
STP
2 - 1
SLR
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
STP
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
STP
0 - 0
SHR
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
BRW
0 - 1
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |