Cruces SD vs Arzua B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruces SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
CRU
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 0
GUI
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VEA
1 - 2
CRU
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
58%
20%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VCF
2 - 5
CRU
30%
22%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arzua B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
3 - 0
RAR
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
3 - 3
SIL
37%
21%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ARZ
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
3 - 3
TOU
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DOZ
1 - 1
ARZ
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |