Criciúma vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
CRI
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRI
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
TOM
50%
27%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 0
PPE
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRB
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |