Criciúma vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
CRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
CRI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 1
LUV
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |