Criciúma vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
CRI
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 0
GUA
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
GUA
82%
14%
4%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRI
9%
22%
69%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CRI
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 1
OPE
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
3 - 0
OPE
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |