Criciúma vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRI
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 2
CRI
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 2
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |