Criciúma vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 3
CRI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
BRU
1 - 2
CRI
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
46%
22%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRI
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
FFL
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
HER
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |