Criciúma vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
INT
2 - 2
CRI
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRI
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 1
CRI
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 0
CRI
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
CAC
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
JEC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
JEC
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
JEC
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |