Criciúma vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 1
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRI
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
BRU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
TUB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
76%
18%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
84%
13%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
JEC
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |