Criciúma vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 1
PAL
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CRI
5 - 1
FCA
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 3
CRI
5%
14%
81%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 0
CRI
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 4
FLU
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
FLU
4 - 0
FLU
87%
10%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |