Criciúma vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
3 - 0
CRI
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 2
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
4 - 1
PAY
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 3
FFL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLA
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |