Criciúma vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRI
36%
31%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
CRI
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRI
3 - 1
OES
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
YPI
0 - 1
CRI
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
ECS
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 4
NOV
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OES
0 - 0
BOT
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
YPI
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
BOT
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |