Crewe Alexandra vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
HUR
2 - 0
CRE
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
STO
0 - 1
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
CRE
0 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
WOL
1 - 0
CRE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
CRE
1 - 4
NTT
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
STO
2 - 1
OPA
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
REA
2 - 0
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
STO
0 - 3
TRA
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
STO
2 - 1
QPR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
OXF
5 - 1
STO
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |