League One Round 17

Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale analysis

Crewe Alexandra Port Vale
55 ELO 61
-1.6% Tilt 14.6%
2887º General ELO ranking 2511º
75º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Crewe Alexandra
26.7%
Draw
39.7%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.7%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crewe Alexandra
-2%
-2%
Port Vale

ELO progression

Crewe Alexandra
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2013
BRE
Brentford
5 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
64%
21%
15%
56 66 10 0
09 Nov. 2013
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
23%
30%
56 58 2 0
02 Nov. 2013
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
34%
27%
38%
56 62 6 0
26 Oct. 2013
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
54%
24%
22%
57 61 4 -1
22 Oct. 2013
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 3
Stevenage
STE
53%
25%
22%
58 56 2 -1

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2013
POR
Port Vale
3 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
50%
25%
25%
59 59 0 0
11 Nov. 2013
SHO
Shortwood United
0 - 4
Port Vale
POR
15%
19%
66%
59 41 18 0
02 Nov. 2013
SWI
Swindon Town
5 - 2
Port Vale
POR
61%
23%
17%
60 69 9 -1
26 Oct. 2013
POR
Port Vale
2 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
51%
25%
25%
60 59 1 0
22 Oct. 2013
CRA
Crawley Town
0 - 3
Port Vale
POR
62%
21%
17%
58 65 7 +2